The traditional Afrikaans-speaking churches in dire straits

Looking back at the history of Christianity, one can see the patterns of ebb and flow. Some scholars tag the global patterns of Christianity into 500-year cycles (De Klerk & Van Helden 2011:2:10; Tickle 2012), implying that society is currently entering the fifth Christian revolutionary era. One outstanding characteristic of the current upheaval in the Christian religion is a dramatic shift to the Global South (Center for the Study of Global Christianity 2013:7). Faith is also becoming more prominent (Joubert 2018:1–7 refers to it as ‘reality turned liquid’) and un-institutionalised (Kok 2018:181). However, as the sad consequences of casualties and death are likewise inherent to the revolutionary process and turbulent times, it seems as if the traditional Reformed Churches (RCs) are the ones that are taking the hardest blows in the current transformation. Some scholars are questioning the survival of the traditional RCs worldwide (cf. Van der Merwe 2015:1) and predictions are that this type of faith will not prevail (Peterson 2013:1). However, similar to the previous revolutions experienced by Christianity, the traditional or old form and institution will probably not go totally extinct.


Introduction
Looking back at the history of Christianity, one can see the patterns of ebb and flow. Some scholars tag the global patterns of Christianity into 500-year cycles (De Klerk & Van Helden 2011:2:10;Tickle 2012), implying that society is currently entering the fifth Christian revolutionary era. One outstanding characteristic of the current upheaval in the Christian religion is a dramatic shift to the Global South (Center for the Study of Global Christianity 2013:7). Faith is also becoming more prominent (Joubert 2018:1-7 refers to it as 'reality turned liquid') and un-institutionalised (Kok 2018:181). However, as the sad consequences of casualties and death are likewise inherent to the revolutionary process and turbulent times, it seems as if the traditional Reformed Churches (RCs) are the ones that are taking the hardest blows in the current transformation. Some scholars are questioning the survival of the traditional RCs worldwide (cf. Van der Merwe 2015:1) and predictions are that this type of faith will not prevail (Peterson 2013:1). However, similar to the previous revolutions experienced by Christianity, the traditional or old form and institution will probably not go totally extinct.
In Europe (Davie 2007:272) and North America (Bruce et al. 2006:111;Roozen 2008:5), church membership is drastically declining and numerous churches have already closed their doors permanently. In Europe, people are leaving the church in large numbers, mainly because of agnosticism and atheism, while in North America there is a significant rise in the number of unaffiliated people, both religious and non-religious (Center for the Study of Global Christianity 2013:7). Although Africa is experiencing growth and expansion of the Christian faith (mostly African Initiated Churches) and predictions point towards even greater things to come in the next few decades for Christianity on this continent, some RCs are in dire straits and sharing the symptoms of the terminally ill and dying churches in Europe and North America.
In South Africa, the three traditional Afrikaans-speaking churches 1 and their conservative schismatic offspring 2 are seemingly caught up in a 'death spiral' (Rainer 2017). While Rainer (2017) and others (Mattera 2018;Niewhof 2016;Noble 2016), who warn about dying churches (mostly in Northern America), are generally referring to single congregations or individual churches, the South African situation is worse because the future existence of denominations is at stake. Since the mid-1980s, these churches started to experience symptoms of decay and regression as the reality of cognitive dissonance 3 started to take hold (about the fact that the churches actively supported the government during the apartheid era and, by doing so, became the handmaid of politics and ideology while discarding the calling to provide an alternative society to the diverse and unequal South African population) and disillusioned people started to question not only the relationship between church and state (Wepener 2015) but also other issues that the postmodern culture shifts brought to the table. Rossouw (1993:894-907) indicates some of the major challenges that Christianity should have addressed to successfully adapt to the postmodern era. Among other things, he asks for critical selfreflection (Rossouw 1993:897), active involvement in moral discourses (Rossouw 1993:898), a narrative theology (Rossouw 1993:899), a concern for the marginalised (Rossouw 1993:902) and a change from being right to doing what is right (Rossouw 1993:903). In line with these challenges and also in the 1990s, Backham (1995) in America calls for a similar reshaping of the church. He says that the church should be less isolated from the world, but not so much influenced by the world. The church must use its money and manpower positively and speak about the needs of the community, such as joblessness and poverty. The church must be less materialistic and less politically involved and must focus on people, not programmes (Backham 1995:26-27). More recently, in the post-postmodern era, Phiri (2017:2) called upon South African Christians to celebrate the gifts of the Spirit, to visit and attend to the wounds that were afflicted in the past and to actively transform injustice. Sadly, the failure to engage in adequate ways with these basic issues that should form part of the constant evolving identity of the church on the one hand, and the church-state relationship on the other hand, is activating a 'slow death' (Gilbert 2004:4-6) in churches, and recently Ungerer (2013) stated that the traditional Afrikaans-speaking churches are currently doing their own death counselling.
Being aware of the fact that the traditional Afrikaansspeaking churches are fighting for survival, Van der Merwe (2014) poses the question, 'why is the church doing what it is doing?' This gives the implication that the answer is not to proclaim the gospel through missional spirituality (Van der Merwe 2014:12) in accordance with the Great Commission 4 and therefore the church has lost its identity and reason for existence. Hanekom (2014) agrees that the main reason for the shrinking church is the lack of a missional dimension which is perhaps the strength of Pentecostal Christianity. The church is no longer true to its calling and therefore not able to uphold its identity and existence. Just like Israel's religion got institutionalised and people no longer had a living relationship with God and a calling to change the world by 3. Festinger (1957) describes cognitive dissonance as the feeling of tension that most people experience when they recognise that they hold two 'cognitions' -ideas, beliefs or opinions -that contradict each other.
4.The mandate of the Great Commission as summarised by Kim (2013:262), includes the following four challenges: evangelistic, discipling, missional and global -all imbedded in the Lords' challenge for love (to God and all people -Mt 28:16-20).
doing what God commands, the Afrikaans-speaking churches are practising a form of religion that was described during the apartheid era as heresy and currently as formalistic, outdated and dying.
Adding to the internal problems such as those listed above, the unique South African context further complicates the situation with factors like the need to adapt to the fourth industrial revolution world we are living in and adjusting to the political context and facing the consequences of the past. However, these are beyond the scope of this investigation.
This research compares the current state of the traditional Afrikaans-speaking churches with the key symptoms of dying churches, listed in several sources, to establish the current state and possible future of these churches. The information from several websites and publications was used to create a general list of common symptoms of dying churches against which the traditional Afrikaans-speaking churches can be measured (although not all of these listed items will be discussed in detail). The symptoms include, but are not limited to, a decline in the number of memberships and a monogenerational membership; infighting, conflict and blameshifting; a lack of effective leadership; financial woes; sacred cows; attitude issues such as resistance to change and personal growth and development; and a tendency to be reactive and not proactive. The focus of terminally ill churches is normally inward, on survival, maintenance and often also on the past. These churches normally lack a focus on missiology and service towards positive change in the community. The lived relationship with God, both by individuals and the congregation, is often not expressed in all activities, values, worldviews and words.
Determining the state of the traditional churches calls for suggestions and recommendations for the way forward.
The method of investigation followed in this study is document analysis, which is a qualitative social research method in which documents are interpreted to give voice and meaning on a specific topic (Bowen 2009:27).

Signs of a dying church
The checklist below is constructed from various sources (Mattera 2018;Niewhof 2015Niewhof , 2016Noble 2016;Rainer 2011;Whitter 2019) to identify some major symptoms of dying churches (Table 1). In general, most congregations of the three traditional Afrikaans-speaking churches can tick or display a majority of these symptoms.

The traditional Afrikaans-speaking churches' survival crisis
By the end of the 20th century, there were approximately 5793 Christian denominations in South Africa, of which 185 were from the Reformed tradition (Johnstone & Mandryk 2001:511 speaking about the drastic decrease in the number of memberships of these traditional churches, as a major symptom of the current crisis, a short note is needed to explain the fact that there still exists three 5 churches (actually more, if the 20th-century schismatic offspring of these churches -the Afrikaanse Protestantse Kerk [APK] and Geloofsbond -are included) with the same confessional, cultural and language foundations. A canonising of the past, differing Bible interpretations, doctrinal disputes and general stubbornness (Oliver 2019:3-7), resulted in the development of three Afrikaans-speaking RCs within a decade or two after the Great Trek. The success of the first Anglo-Boer War stimulated a feeling of unity and some Afrikaners tried to establish unity between the churches. Two of the three churches briefly united between 1885 and 1892, after which they again went their own ways. In 1939, a few months before the onset of the Second World War, an inter-church commission was established to once again try to bring the churches together. Over the years, this commission changed its name twice (it is currently known as the Inter-Church Council) and it never succeeded to establish unity between the 'sister' churches. During the 5.For the different interpretations on the history and development of the three traditional churches, see Pont (1968)  last decade of the 20th century, the council concluded that it is 'not realistic' to keep pushing for unity between the churches and the focus shifted from unity to cooperation (Gereformeerde Kerke 2009:154).
It must be emphasised that all these churches (including those that split from them) in general confess on unity in faith through the Confession of Nicaea (Oliver 2011:40), but also see their form of religion and themselves as the sole keepers of the truth (Oliver 2007:34) without experiencing any form of cognitive dissonance about these controversies. The fruitless efforts to establish unity for more than a century proved how difficult it is to change the perceptions of people who choose to believe their own interpretation of events and dogma (cf. MacMillan 2009:87). The Afrikaans-speaking churches are using the term 'cooperation' as an evasive action to avoid, block, ignore and deny cognitive dissonance (Travis & Aronson 2008) and to camouflage heresy and schism. Although schism does not generally appear in the lists of symptoms of dying churches, in the South African context, this refusal to unite because of the 'owners of the truth-syndrome' that most Afrikaner Christians suffer from (Oliver 2007:34) will most probably be contributing several nails to these churches' coffins.

Practical issues √ or x
Numerical decline for 4 or more years. - The congregation or church is mono-generational, mostly senior adults. - The focus is mainly on keeping people and not on winning people for Christ.

Identity issues
The relationship with God has gone flat. The lists, however, mention infighting, conflict and blameshifting, which are all related to schism. Steyn (2006:661-676) identified at least five major movements within the Dutch Reformed Church (DRC), which are causing power and status struggles, personal vendettas and intolerance. This identity crisis 6 within the churches (cf. Steyn 2005:551 on the DRC) started in the mid-1980s when apartheid theology started to crumble, while the consequential losses in credibility, status and power for the institutions and church leaders resulted in such trauma that these churches and leaders became lame and mute, paralysing the churches to such an extent that they have lost their voice and ability to act positively (Steyn 2005:551). The churches are currently still acting as if they are deaf and blind -unable or unwilling to assist and support those in need on the one hand, or only focusing inward on the needs of its existing members on the other hand. There are no actions and protests, prophecy and provision of alternatives to the corruption, crime and other evils that are crippling the South African society. When there is a rare flickering of life (like when a church tries to update its rules and regulations, e.g., the position of marginalised groups -again an inward action), it often acts in such a way that people feel even more offended, and more members 7 are actively exiting the church either to become un-churched believers or to join more progressive forms of Christianity and Spirituality. Interestingly, the issues listed by the Moreleta Park congregation of the DRC that made them want to leave are similar to those identified as problem areas in the lists above, namely, that God must be first in everything; Christians should operate in unity; leaders must stand up for the truth and have courage to stay with what is right; Christians must ensure that they have a personal relationship with God; and the congregation must adhere to their evangelical or missional calling to all people (Strydom 2019).
Closely linked with the infighting and power struggles is the lack of competent spiritual leadership. Often churches and congregations are 'managed' through the dependency model that leaves no space for the priesthood of all believers to be active agents of positive change. Even in the 21st century, these churches are clinging to hierarchical systems, dependency models and male dominance paradigms (cf. Oosthuizen 2018:43; 205). The recent work of Oosthuizen (2018:167 139) refers to 'Bible bullies' and 'church bullies' whose actions and words are still causing self-destruction and further schisms within the institutions. The lack of true spiritual leadership diverts the focus from what is really important -namely, putting the glory of God first, obey and live the Great commandment and to provide an alternative society built upon prayer and a personal relationship with God -to focus on popularity contests, worship styles and the use of facilities.
6.An identity crisis is a psychosocial state or condition of disorientation and role confusion. It is the result of conflicting experiences, pressures and expectations and often goes hand in hand with an acute display of emotions (The Free Dictionary 2019).
7.Even congregations are lately trying to leave the DRC: The Moreleta Park congregation, the largest congregation of the DRC with about 14 000 members, recently (02 May 2019) indicated that they want to leave the institution, but after a meeting with the church leaders they decided not to leave yet (Strydom 2019).
One of the most noticeable symptoms of a dying church is a consistent fall in the number of memberships for 4 or more consecutive years (Rainer 2017). In South Africa, the decline of the number of memberships of the traditional Afrikaansspeaking churches started in the mid-1980s and has not yet stopped (Table 2).
Stats SA indicates that in 1985, more than 5% of the population of South Africa were members of the three traditional Afrikaans-speaking churches. By 2018, this number dropped to about half a per cent 8 of the population (Stats SA 2018). The DRC, the largest of the three denominations, lost more than half a million members (531 639) over the last 30 years, amounting to 37%. The NHC lost more than 56% of its membership in the last three decades and the RC, traditionally the smallest of the three churches, is currently the second largest despite also losing about 24% of its members.
In reality, the picture is even darker than what is presented through the statistics listed above. A large number of people are still officially members of these churches but are not actively involved in any church activities (absentees and passive members) or even part of the fast-growing unchurched 9 group (cf. Oosthuizen 2018:202). What is left is in many cases, mostly senior adults (cf. Oliver 2006:118), contributing to the mono-generational character of the churches (Schoeman 2014:4). Less than 34% congregants regularly attend church services (Barnard 2019). The alarm about these dwindling numbers is sounding since the 1990s, but it seems as if denying and underestimating 10 the real graveness of the declining numbers is even currently at the order of the day and the issue is greatly ignored because of ascribing the phenomenon to a list of cover-up and superficial reasons.
Apart from emigration (about 1 545 098 white South Africans emigrated between 1986 and 2015 [Stats SA 2015]), 11 the decline in the birth rate (Dreyer 2003(Dreyer :1054   The political situation in South Africa and the dismissal of apartheid are often listed as reasons for the declining numbers of the DRC, but Oosthuizen (2018:188) is correct in pointing out that if this was the case, the conservative schismatic churches would have grown substantially.
In line with the blame-shifting tendency of dying churches, the reasons given for the declining numbers do not include a lack of confession about malpractices (including heresy and schism) by the institutions, leadership (cf. Oosthuizen 2018:135) and members, or a confession about the church losing its alternative social identity and changing into a mirror of the broken and corrupt South African society.
In light of what is said above, the conclusion that Whitley (1969) has drawn about Christian churches in North America more than 40 years ago is true about the Afrikaans-speaking churches today: the church is becoming a mirror of society. It is no longer a window of hope in a hurting and chaotic society, providing an alternative space of shelter and peace.
Churches are looking and acting like the world (Buitendag 2008:129) by sanctioning the values and norms emphasised by society (Whitley 1969:14). As a social and personal force, the Christian religion of the Afrikaners became a dependent variable: it no longer originates, it reacts.
It does not denounce, it adapts. It no longer sets forth new modes of conduct and sensibility; it imitates society (cf. Mills 1958:166). So, if there is no difference between life inside and outside the church, why does the church still exist? The church no longer offers an alternative space where the relationship with God and his word provides peace and salvation. The church as an institution became obsolete and disposable.

The way forward
The Christian faith will not fade or vanish in South Africa because of the terminally ill state that the traditional Afrikaans-speaking churches are finding themselves in, but the current institutional packaging (at least) of the Afrikaansspeaking traditional denominations must be discarded and replaced with a flowing, more liquid form (Schoeman 2014:10) and structure. Unfortunately, the church became so intertwined with the institutional sacred cows (such as leadership, owners of the truth syndrome and so on) that the substantial change that is required not only caused an identity crisis, but also sent the churches to their deathbed. Steyn is correct to side with Meiring (1980:207-215) in warning against cosmetic changes when open-heart surgery is required to save the life of the Afrikaans-speaking churches. Intense reformation is needed, but to the institutionalised 'sister' churches, it seems as if too much is at stake as the postponement of drastic reform is putting these churches on their deathbeds (cf. Rainer 2015).
Even if the current form of church (institution) is no more, this will not mean that Christianity died in the hearts and lives of South Africans. It will mean that God is showing a new way. Just like in nature, death often creates new life (the transformation of a worm into a butterfly or a seed into a plant) and maybe the traditional form and structure of the Afrikaans-speaking churches must die in order for something new to be created and developed into the next phase of Christianity (Kok 2018:178). The church must recover (discover) its identity through the imperative lens of metamemories from salvation history (cf. Volf 2006).
A positive way forward towards change and recovery will probably not come from the current church leadership (just like in the time of Jesus and the time of Luther), as the church leaders are hanging on to their positions and/or pension packages. It is time for Christians to take up their calling as priests (the priesthood of all believers) and to think and work towards 'the universal family of God more than that of their own parochial territories' (Kim 2013:262). Christians need to be united in oneness of faith, ministry and purpose.
Maybe like in the early centuries, at the hand of unrest, persecution and bullying, together with current institutional decay and neglect, Christians will find a way to grow and flourish and bring healing to our country. Aid, development and charity work that made these churches so strong after the Anglo-Boer War and up until the 1980s must once again flourish, this time not only focusing on designated groups, but also on the needs of South Africa in each community and nationally. In addition, the voice of the church must be heard, commenting on and guiding people to act according to their faith and to commit to create an alternative Christian society.
Firstly, cognitive dissonance must be used to make church members and leaders aware of why (the real reasons) the symptoms of terminal sickness are cancerating the institutions, their faith and relationship with God. Secondly, church members must receive death counselling to make peace with the fact that the church in its current state can no longer serve the people of this country, and start working towards constructing a different and new kind of faith community. Thirdly, the creative minds of people who are capable of designing and creating solutions to all kinds of problems (like all the patents that South Africans create) must design a new African Christian theology. People from all the different denominations must work together to create and develop a unique African, contextual theology with a missiological core built upon and around the Great Commission to serve the country and its people in our unique situation and circumstances in obedience to and within a living relationship to God.
The new creation and motion will probably not come from church leaders as they are too concerned about their status, pension and influence in society, while their feet of clay (to give in to corruption, discrimination, lack of determination to stand up for the truth, speak out against what is wrong in church, society, economy and government) will prevent them from taking such steps. Just like in the early church and during the later revolutions, it will be the marginalised and the outcasts who will bring reform, despite the restrains put onto them by laws, structures and hierarchical leadership.
The current situation is opening opportunities for innovation at grass-roots level. Afrikaners are innovative (see all the South African designed patents). What can be created to take the place of the dying church? What can be formed that can be a constructive way of living Christian faith as it is intended on the African continent in the 21st century? There are already examples of grass-root projects such as the ekerk [e-church], urban ministries, numerous other projects and spiritual awakenings, but these projects and movements need to gather momentum to evolve and take the place of the dying churches in society (Table 3).

Conclusion
The traditional Afrikaans-speaking churches are in dire straits. The numbers of memberships are dwindling since the mid-1980s and hiding behind excuses while not trying to uncover the real reason for this, which is contributing to the critical state that these denominations are finding themselves in. Although numbers are a significant indicator that something is seriously wrong, there are also other symptoms that confirm the critical state of these churches. Most important is the identity crisis that is causing confusion, supported by the lack of spiritual leadership, the denial of the concept of the priesthood of all believers and a number of practical dilemmas. If these churches would consider changing their identity (from Afrikaans-speaking to inclusiveness in the diverse contexts of the country), there could be some hope for survival and even a thriving new Christian reformation in South Africa.
Unfortunately, similar to the previous revolutions (such as in the time of Jesus and again during the time of Luther), the institutional church became lifeless and stagnant. Living, changing, radical faith no longer resembles a relationship with the living God. In the light of the history of South Africa where apartheid actually crossed out the right to exist for the Afrikaans-speaking churches (Oosthuizen 2018:199), it is high time for the old structures, hierarchy, customs and dogma to make way for a renewal on the one hand, and for pacified members to be awakened to a new reformation on the other hand; something new and different must be created to carry the salvation in Christ to the broken world and especially to the violent, crime-ridden, corrupt South African society.

Stop doing this
Thinking about faith as a safe and uncontested space.